The deliverable D3.1 – Modal choice analysis and expert assessment – is now available for download on the Modus website. This deliverable is part of a project that has received funding from the SESAR Joint Undertaking under grant agreement No 891166 under European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme.
In the context of increasing environmental awareness, regulatory measures, capacity shortages across different modes, and the need for a seamless passenger journey, the optimisation and alignment of multimodal transport in Europe is of the utmost importance for the overall performance of the (future) transport system. In line with this, the high-level objective of Modus is to analyse how its performance can be optimised by considering the entire door-to-door journey holistically and air transport within an integrated, multimodal approach.
Within this context, the objective of this freshly published deliverable is the identification and initial high-level assessment of factors that influence the future supply and demand of mobility, and which may exhibit the potential to shift the current landscape of the European transport system. For this purpose, a comprehensive literature review identified a set of high-level as well as detailed drivers of supply and demand.
This analysis has been complemented by an expert survey, to gain initial high-level insight regarding the potential importance of various factors, and by a multimodality workshop, to identify additional factors and acquire a first insight into potential enablers and barriers of future mobility solutions.
Figure: Identification and assessment of future drivers of supply and demand in Modus
The analysis and assessment conducted in the different sections of this Modus deliverable provides a detailed and comprehensive insight into the drivers that shape the future European transport system, both in terms of supply of and demand for mobility solutions and services.
These insights in regard to trends and developments yield a valuable contribution for the set-up of the Modus modal choice analysis, use cases, scenarios as well as recommendations for improvement potential at a later stage in the project.
The results of this deliverable have been presented during the UIC Customer Experience Workshop and the EUROCONTROL ART Workshop on Passenger centred mobility in June 2021.